One rule, two assets: why a universal strategy does not exist

Video in Russian “Тебя просто развели”, 24 October 2026, 8:41.

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What the video is about

The video tests on data the popular myth of a strategy that works the same on any asset.

The same rule — a 0.4% pullback after the first sweep of the high formed at 03:00–04:30 New York, swept within 09:00–15:00 — occurred in 41.8% of cases on US100 and in 21.7% on gold.

BIASMACHINE methods are open: the rule, filters and sample can be repeated to get the same numbers. The video is in Russian.

Key claims

Both assets used identical conditions: pools formed 02:00–08:00, swept 09:00–15:00 New York, first sweeps only, a 0.4% pullback.
A 0.4% pullback after a sweep of the 03:00–04:30 high occurred in 41.8% of cases on US100 (data as of 24 October 2026).
Extension before the pullback on US100: up to 0.1% in 38% of cases, up to 0.2% in another 21.6%, up to 0.4% in roughly another 20%; in about 79% of cases the 0.4% pullback came before a 0.4% extension (data as of 24 October 2026).
On gold the same rule gave a 0.4% pullback in 21.7% of cases (data as of 24 October 2026).
Even similar US100 and US500 differ by tens of percent from case to case; the same holds for currency pairs and crypto assets.
In the author's experience source data quality is best for indices, worse for Forex and nearly unattainable for crypto assets.

Chapters

0:00 — The universal-strategy myth
1:16 — One rule, two tabs: US100 and gold
2:31 — The 03:00–04:30 pool and a 0.4% pullback
3:03 — Extension before the pullback
4:19 — Gold: 21.7% instead of 41.8%
5:25 — Open, reproducible methods
5:39 — Different assets and data quality
7:23 — Test your own concept

Transcript

The video is in Russian. The full Russian transcript is on the Russian page.

Questions about the video

Does 41.8% mean a trade wins 41.8% of the time?

No. It is the share of cases in which the rule reached a 0.4% pullback, without entry, stop or fees. It is a historical frequency, not a forecast.

Why is gold almost half as high?

Assets distribute intraday movement differently and react to sweeps differently, so every BIASMACHINE study is computed separately per asset.

How can I repeat the calculation?

The rule, windows and sample are described in the video and on the How it is computed page; sample cases open on the chart in Research (Pro).

How to read the numbers

Numbers are given as stated in the video on the recording date, 24 October 2026. After Research studies are recomputed they may differ.

Historical frequencies are not individual investment advice and do not guarantee repetition. Hypothetical results do not reflect real trading (CFTC Rule 4.41 principle).

Next: how it is computed, glossary, all videos.

Author — Georg Vahi · Video published 24 October 2026